Refereed Publications


Economic Forecasting

Forecasting Exports across Europe: What Are the Superior Survey Indicators?

Empirical Economics, 2020, forthcoming.

 

Forecasting GDP all over the World Using Leading Indicators based on Comprehensive Survey Data.

Applied Economics, 51 (54), 2019, 5802-5816 (with J. Garnitz and K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Boosting and regional economic forecasting: The case of Germany.

Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 10 (2), 2017, 161-175 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany.

Applied Economics Letters, 24 (4), 2017, 279-283 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Forecasting employment in Europe: Are survey results helpful?

Journal of Business Cycle Research, 12 (1), 2016, 81-117 (with A. Weyh). Link

 

Looking into the black box of boosting: The case of Germany.

Applied Economics Letters, 23 (17), 2016, 1229-1233 (with k. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Nowcasting Regional GDP - The Case of the Free State of Saxony.

Review of Economics, 66 (1), 2015, 71-98 (with St. R. Henzel and K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors.

German Economic Review, 16 (2), 2015, 226-254 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Regional Economic Forecasting: State-of-the-Art Methodology and Future Challenges.

Economics and Business Letters, 3 (4), 2014, 218-231 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Forecasting gross-value added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones? Review of Regional Research, 34 (1), 2014, 61-90 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link

Forecast Evaluation

The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution. German Economic Review, 2020, forthcoming (with T. Wollmershäuser).

Political Economy

On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: Evidence from OECD countries.

Public Choice, 170 (3), 2017, 211-230 (with B. Jochimsen). Link

Economics of Migration

Explaining Spatial Patterns of Foreign Employment in Germany.

Regional Studies, 53 (7), 2019, 991-1003 (with W. Nagl). Link

Agglomeration Economies

Marshall or Jacobs? New insights from an interaction model.

Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, 33 (2), 2013, 107-133 (with J. Kluge). Link

Elections

Electotal Externalities in Federations - Evidence from German Opinion Polls.

Kyklos, 2020, forthcoming (with X. Frei, S. Langer and F. Rösel).

Journal Rankings

An Elo ranking for economics journals.

Economics Bulletin, 37 (4), 2017, 2282-2291 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link

 

Who is the 'Journal Grand Master'? A new ranking based on the Elo rating system.

Journal of Informetrics, 11 (3), 2017, 800-809 (with K. Wohlrabe). Link