I am a German economist and CESifo Affiliate with business cycle forecasting as my main research topic. After finishing my Doctoral Thesis (Dr. rer. pol., German PhD equivalent) in 2015, I am currently working as a Post-Doc Researcher at the ifo Institute in Munich.
Besides doing research on questions concerning economic forecasting, I am interested in macroeconomics, political economy and migration. From a methodological point of view, I am familiar with time series analysis, spatial and panel econometrics.
With my website I want to keep you informed on my future, current and past research. If you are interested in my research or in cooperations, please feel free to contact me.
The paper "Forecasting Exports across Europe: What Are the Superior Survey Indicators?" has been accepted for publication in Empirical Economics.
New article "The ifo Export Climate - A Leading Indicator to Forecast German Export Growth" (together with
Chr. Grimme) available here.
The paper "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution" (together with T. Wollmershäuser) has
been accepted for publication in the German Economic Review.
The paper "Electoral Externalities in Federations - Evidence from German Opinion Polls" (together with X. Frei, S. Langer and F. Roesel) has been accepted for publication in Kyklos.
New article "The Regional and Sectoral Importance of the German Mittelstand" (together with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn) available here.
The paper "Forecasting GDP all over the World Using Leading Indicators based on Comprehensive Survey Data" (together with J. Garnitz and K. Wohlrabe) has been accepted for publication in Applied Economics.
New German speaking article "Understanding regional business cycles with the ifo Business Survey" (together
with F. Leiss, S. Litsche, St. Sauer, M. Weber, A. Weichselberger and K. Wohlrabe) available here.
New German speaking article "How is the German 'Mittelstand' distributed across space? Evidence from business survey results" (together with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn) available here.
New Working Paper "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution" (together with T. Wollmershäuser) available here.